MIX10 is Microsoft’s 3-day conference going on in Las Vegas right now. It began yesterday and will end tomorrow. The title is “The Next Web Now” and will cover all the ways in which Microsoft can help you enter or stay in the web space appropriately. Some such examples are “Designing Corporate Web Sites using SharePoint 2010” or “Rapid WordPress design and Prototyping with Expression Web 3.” this is a very proprietary turn for Microsoft.
For all of its history, Microsoft went out of their way to avoid being labeled proprietary like Apple, Sony, or Adobe. Sony puts Memory Stick and only Memory Stick into all of their products. Microsoft built in support to read any media type. Apple controls the hardware and the software of all their machines. You cannot install Mac OS X on anything but a Mac computer (exceptions apply after hacking/tweaking). Windows will install on just about anything. Adobe created Flash (the animations and cartoons you see running around all over the web). Then they didn’t update it or make it efficient. Microsoft has embraced the HTML5 movement.
The reason for Microsoft’s apparent need to play nice with everything is driven by its real mission of total ubiquity. Bill Gates’ edict was “…a computer on every desk and in every home…” They have always, admittedly, been interested in quantity. They were also the only real player. In 2010, Mac OS X, the forthcoming Google Chromium, and any one of a variety of flavors of Linux are all contenders.
Microsoft needs to step up its game and it seems to be doing exactly that. The biggest change is coming from their approach to mobile computing and smart phone technology. This is a space in which Microsoft has not been real successful in the past. Windows based mobile devices or smartphones have been around since the dawn of that market competing with Palm handhelds when they were just the Pilot1000 owned by the now defunct US Robotics and when we still had something called a Newton.
Palm took the lead early on and, despite their best efforts, Microsoft could never seem to keep up. Part of the problem was that Windows Mobile (affectionately called WinMo) was the OS but the device could have been any number of models by any number of manufacturers, including Palm at one point. Every device was made to manufacturers’ specifications. Hardware ranged so greatly that there was no baseline standard and the performance of WinMo fluctuated to the point that it was nearly unusable on some hardware platforms without serious hacking by the experienced power user.
This biggest news at MIX10 is Windows Phone 7 (WinPho?). Their mobile platform is back with a new name and new rules. And the rules are better than the name, by a longshot. There are parts of the phone that leave a little something to be desired but by the time it gets released, that may all be fixed. In the meantime, what is Microsoft doing to ensure success - or at least help it along this time? Manufacturing of phones to run Windows Phone 7 is totally open, but the standards are not.
Everyone phone running this operating system must meet strict guidelines on the form factor (certain size, 3 buttons - start, back, bing), memory, processing power and almost most importantly - screen resolution.
They keynote 1 yesterday at MIX focused on this and development. More than anything it seemed to showcase the talents of Windows Phone 7 and how easy it is to develop for it (as long as you play by the guidelines). Microsoft pulled a page from Apple’s playbook and showed the Software Development Kit and the partners who have seen it early and then announced that the availability of it for home developers to start their own apps would be… immediately. Joe Belfiore wasn’t as charismatic as Mr. Jobs in his delivery but the lack of high-water jeans and black turtle neck was better.
Does this mean that Windows Phone 7 will be superior and knock everyone else off their pedestal? Probably not, but it will be a major player in a space that Microsoft has traditionally gone limp. Blackberry, iPhone and Android are already established, with Palm’s new WebOS in the back chugging along. 47% of Blackberry users said they would trade for an iPhone and an additional 32% said they would trade for an Android recently. Microsoft has a long road ahead.
Personal prediction: Windows Phone 7 puts surpasses Palm in less than a year leaving them floundering again. Android’s open source, non-advertising, tech for the masses mentality staves its commercial/consumer growth making Windows Phone 7 the owner of the 32% of Blackberry users that said they wanted an Android last week. iPhone stays dominant in the market. The remainder is split between Windows Phone 7 and Blackberry users. If we had to break it down, let’s say 40% to iPhone, 20% each to Blackberry and Microsoft. 10% to Android and the remaining 10% spread out across anyone else such as Palm’s WebOS and Samsung’s forthcoming entry into the smartphone market, etc.
Kudos to Microsoft for identifying their issues and making an effort to fix them. The result in the eyes of the consumers remains to be seen.